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NBER Working Papers · October 12, 2026 · On the brief until October 26, 2026

Indirect Variational Inference: Applications to Earnings Dynamics -- by Neele L. Balke, Stéphane Bonhomme, Thibaut Lamadon

EconomicsData Science
THE AI ANGLE
Approximating intractable integration via variational optimization

Researchers introduced indirect variational inference to estimate latent-variable models without computing intractable likelihoods. The method uses machine learning variational approximations as an auxiliary step and corrects the resulting parameter bias. This gives researchers a way to estimate complex models of earnings dynamics reliably.

Summary written by AI Business Lens with an AI model from the article at nber.org. It is not the article, and the publisher has not reviewed it. For publishers.

THE TEACHING ANGLE
Classes can debate whether machine learning optimization approximations provide enough parameter reliability for structural economic modeling.

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