Indirect Variational Inference: Applications to Earnings Dynamics -- by Neele L. Balke, Stéphane Bonhomme, Thibaut Lamadon
EconomicsData Science
THE AI ANGLE
Approximating intractable integration via variational optimizationResearchers introduced indirect variational inference to estimate latent-variable models without computing intractable likelihoods. The method uses machine learning variational approximations as an auxiliary step and corrects the resulting parameter bias. This gives researchers a way to estimate complex models of earnings dynamics reliably.
THE TEACHING ANGLE
Classes can debate whether machine learning optimization approximations provide enough parameter reliability for structural economic modeling.Read the original at nber.org Generate teaching or study materials
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